Start with the franchisor’s numbers, then take them apart
Every serious franchisor will give you financial projections, and most will be honest as far as they go. The problem is what they are an average of. A network figure blends mature sites with new ones, strong territories with weak ones, and owner-operators who work seventy hours a week with managed units that do not. Your unit will be one specific combination of those, and the plan has to be about that combination.
Take each line of the franchisor’s forecast and ask what it depends on. Turnover depends on footfall or population in your territory, and on how long it takes to build. Wages depend on whether you are working in the business or managing it. Rent depends on the unit you can actually get. Change those to your own figures and the forecast often looks rather different, sometimes better and quite often worse.
Talk to the people already doing it
The best evidence available to a franchise buyer is the franchisees who are already trading, and it is remarkable how few buyers use it properly. Ask the franchisor for a list, including people who have left the network, and speak to several you chose yourself rather than the ones you were introduced to.
The useful questions are specific. How long did it take to break even? What did the first year actually turn over against the projection you were given? Which costs were bigger than expected? What does the franchisor genuinely do for the fee? Would you buy it again? Put the answers in the plan. A lender reading “three trading franchisees reached break-even in months nine, eleven and fourteen, against a franchisor projection of eight” knows you have done the work.
Model the fees as they really fall
Management service fees and marketing levies are charged on turnover, which gives them a different shape from every other cost in the plan. In a slow opening month, rent and wages are painful but fixed. The fees are smaller in pounds, but they are taken before you have made any profit at all.
Build them into cost of sales rather than overheads, so that the gross margin you show is the margin after the franchisor has been paid. Then look at break-even on that basis. It is the honest figure, and it is the one a franchise lender will calculate whether or not you do.
Plan the exit before the entry
A franchise is a fixed-term licence, not a business you own outright. The agreement will set a term, often five or ten years, with conditions on renewal, a fee to renew, and rules about selling the unit, including the franchisor’s approval of any buyer and often a transfer fee. Those clauses decide what your business is worth at the end, which makes them part of the business plan rather than small print.
Where SquarePlan fits
SquarePlan asks for your turnover, costs, fees, staffing and start-up spend, and builds the monthly cash flow, profit and loss and break-even from them, along with the VAT and payroll calculations underneath. Enter the franchisor’s projection first, then change the assumptions to your own and see what happens to break-even. That comparison is the heart of a franchise plan, and it is much better done before you sign the agreement than after.
