The appraisal is the plan
Development is unusual in that the financial model comes first and the narrative supports it. A lender or investor will turn to the appraisal before reading anything else, and if the appraisal does not work the rest is irrelevant.
The structure is always the same. Gross development value at the top, less sales costs, less total development cost — land, acquisition costs, build, professional fees, statutory costs, contingency and finance. What is left is profit, expressed both on cost and on GDV. Every line needs a source behind it, and the two that get tested hardest are GDV and build cost, because those are where optimism has the largest effect.
Get those two from outside your own head. GDV from completed comparable sales, not asking prices and not what an agent hopes for. Build cost from a quantity surveyor or a priced schedule from a builder who has seen the drawings. A monitoring surveyor will benchmark both, and a gap discovered at that stage is expensive because you will already have committed to the site.
Finance costs run longer than the build
The most common structural error in a first appraisal is stopping the interest calculation at practical completion. Finance runs until the loan is redeemed, and redemption happens when units sell or a term facility replaces the facility — both of which take months after the last brick is laid.
A nine-month build with a six-month sales period carries fifteen months of interest, arrangement fees and exit fees. If the market slows and sales take twelve months, that is eighteen. Because development interest is normally rolled up, the balance is compounding across the whole period on an increasing drawn amount. Model the sales period explicitly, then model it again with a slower rate, and see whether the profit survives. That sensitivity is precisely what a lender will run, so it is better to have run it first.
Contingency is not padding
New developers often see contingency as an admission of imprecision and trim it to improve the headline margin. Experienced lenders read a thin contingency as inexperience, and will add one back into their own version of your appraisal — which reduces the loan.
Ten percent of build cost is the floor for new build. Refurbishment and conversion warrant fifteen, because you cannot know what is behind the walls until you open them, and the surprises are rarely cheap ones. Asbestos, inadequate foundations, unrecorded drainage and rot are the routine discoveries, and any of them can consume a thin contingency in a fortnight.
Where SquarePlan fits
You enter the site cost, build costs, professional and statutory fees, the finance structure and the expected sale values and timing. SquarePlan builds the cash flow across the development period, showing the drawdown profile, the rolled-up interest and the point at which the scheme turns cash positive, alongside the profit on cost and profit on GDV a lender will ask for. Extend the sales period or drop the GDV by 5% and you can see what it does to the margin before you commit to the site.